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Why biotech companies are eyeing China

By | Business Development, Valuation | No Comments

During the past few years, the rising economic power of China has become more and more notable. As of today, China has the world’s largest population with approximately 1.42 billion people and the second largest economy with a gross domestic product (GDP) of $9 trillion. The pharmaceutical industry is not an exception to this economic trend. Just by looking at the numbers, the pharmaceutical market size from 2015 equaled to $181 billion, with generics making up only 7% of the whole market ($12.6 billion). It is, however, far from pure numbers that are driving biotech companies’ interest to enter the Chinese market. As you’ll see in this blogpost, the constantly growing market, favorable approval processes, investments and China’s current ten-year plan are all important factors that are feeding the interest of international biotech companies to explore new territories.

Traditionally, Chinese companies across all industries have mainly been dedicated to the manufacturing and imitation of new technologies. This was also true for the biopharma industry where generics and manufacturing of existing drugs long ruled over the development of new innovative drugs and where, by the end of 2017, more than 90% of the companies developing active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) in China were generics. However, this industry is expected to take a sharp turn as the revised IPO regulations in Hong Kong, increasing private and public investment in the sector, governmental initiatives and changing regulations are expected to foster innovation and boost the development of novel therapies in the country.

According to EY analysts, the Chinese pharma market had an annual growth of 8% between 2014 to 2017. However, this number is projected to increase to about 14% between 2018 and 2020 and it will be primarily driven by the increasing population and the change in lifestyle that has led to an increasing prevalence of diseases such as cancer, diabetes and high blood pressure. Adding interest to the non-domestic biotech companies is that Chinese people are becoming both more open to try Western medicine and are becoming richer, meaning that more people can afford more expensive and branded medicines.

Increasing government supported investments and acquisitions

In 2015, the Chinese government launched a ten-year plan, called “Made in China 2025”, aimed at positioning the country as a dominant leader in high tech and advanced industries such as biomedicine. Through a number of favorable policies, this plan has already had a substantial impact on the domestic bio-medicine industry and continues to encourage its development with investments to foster innovation in the sector stretching as far as $100 billion. Examples of favorable policies include the support for the development of new and existing bio-medicine life-science parks and subsidies (state funding, low interest loans, tax breaks, etc.) for the acquisition of overseas intellectual property (IP) or advanced technologies. However, biotech companies seeking their next investment from a Chinese partner should be aware of any “forced transfer agreements” that might come along with the offer. These agreements mean that foreign biotech companies who would like to do business in China sometimes are required to have a joint venture with a Chinese firm. Through these agreements, Chinese firms can inherently gain access to IP and know-how of advanced foreign technologies and leverage this for their own acceleration.

Some of the technologies that China aims to advance through the “Made in China 2025” policy are the following:

  • Development of new products for chemical drugs
  • Traditional Chinese medicines and biotechnology drugs for major diseases, including new mechanism and new target chemical drugs
  • Antibody drugs, antibody-conjugated drugs
  • New structural proteins and peptide drugs
  • New vaccines
  • Personalized treatment drugs
  • Medical devices
  • High-performance medical equipment such as imaging equipment and medical robots
  • High-value medical consumables such as fully degradable vascular stents
  • Mobile medical products such as wearable and remote medical treatment
  • Breakthrough and application of new technologies such as 3D bio-printing and induced pluripotent stem cells

Thanks to the new regulations and governmental plans that China has created in order to become a frontier in bio-medicine innovations, we are starting to see a burst of Chinese biotech and pharma companies.

Changing rules in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange

An interesting factor that makes China an attractive case for many biotech companies are the newly established rules in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that allows public stock investment in pre-revenue or development stage biotech companies in China and internationally. While Hong Kong is an autonomous territory or a so called Special Administrative Region of the People’s Republic of China, there is huge amount of money that will be poured in IPO offerings for Chinese drug development companies. Since 2018, the IPO of  Ascletis Pharma ($400 million), BeiGene ($903 million), Innovent Biologics ($422 million), Hua Medicine ($110 million) and Shanghai Junshi Bioscience ($394 million) brought up a total of $2.2 billion.

An attractive approval process and reinforced quality

Since 2015, China’s drug regulatory authorities have taken several steps, known as the examination and approval reform, to speed up the approval of new and/or innovative drugs. This reform has allowed the acceleration of drug development and the creation of better environment for Chinese life science companies through the revision of the approval process by the Chinese authorities (pharmaceutical market) that now recognizes foreign clinical trial data or World Health Organization’s pre-certificate results and the reduction of administrative approvals costs. Also the Centre of Drug Evaluation (CDE) in China is making an effort to reduce the backlog of drug review, meaning the CDE is decreasing the amount of applications waiting to be revised. 

Also, the requirements to register a new drug in China is nothing out of the ordinary. A quick examination of the clinical trial requirements to register a new chemical drug through the Chinese Food and Drug Administration indicates that new innovative drugs and improved new drugs that have been marketed outside China only require pharmacokinetics and a phase 3 clinical study. The application process for these types of drugs can be performed through the “Imported innovative drug process”. New drugs that have never been marketed in or outside China, however, require the regular phase 1, 2 and 3 clinical studies and a “New drug application process”. It is also worth mentioning that the regulations around generic drugs are improving in China as the regulations are being reinforced to promote better quality of generic drugs.

Trends among life science companies

Thanks to the new regulations and governmental plans that China has created in order to become a frontier in bio-medicine innovations, we are starting to see a burst of Chinese biotech and pharma companies. Additionally, possibly thanks to governmental incentives and subsidies to do so, we are starting to see a trend towards Chinese companies and investment firms scouting for assets or new therapeutic solutions to acquire and catch up with the lagging innovation that lingers from the previous focus on the manufacturing of generic and existing drugs. Therefore, many small biotech companies around the world are starting to strategically consider entering the Chinese market and/or approach Chinese VCs or companies backloaded with cash. Indeed, with the changing regulations, the Made in China 2025 investments and the changing rules of the stock market, China is an interesting case for any biotech company looking to accelerate. Just be aware of any “forced transfer agreements” which may result in you paying for your success in China with all of your IP and know-how.

Largest biotech and pharma deals – 2018 recap & 2019 outlook

By | Business Development, Valuation, What's the deal | No Comments

The year 2019 started out strong with the announcement of Bristol Myers Squibb acquisition of Celgene for about $74 billion. In size, this deal undoubtedly trumps the deals struck in 2018 but, importantly, signals that oncology deals are still among the highest valued deals in the biotech and pharma industry. However, before delving further into the possible deal trends that could be expected in 2019, let us look back and honor some of the major acquisition and partnership deals that companies landed in 2018.

Among the biggest acquisition deals that were identified in 2018 (see Table 1), Takeda’s acquisition of Shire had the highest deal value and represents one of the largest overseas acquisition deals in Japanese history. This massive deal of $56 billion for a large asset portfolio, including rare disease therapeutics, indicates that the undersaturated rare disease therapeutics market is of high value due to regulatory incentives and high drug prices. Supporting this conclusion is the huge acquisition deal of $11.6 billion where Sanofi acquired Bioverativ to expand its portfolio of rare blood disorders. Apart from therapeutics, other high valued acquisition deals during the year involved consumer healthcare products, cell and/or gene therapies and assets in oncology.

 

In terms of partnership deals, the total value of the largest deals identified were in the billion range (see Table 2), where a strategic global collaboration deal between Eisai and MSD for marketed oncology product, Lenvima, yielded a potential total deal value of $5.76 billion, with a hefty upfront payment of $300 million. This was, however, not the deal with the highest upfront payment, as this title was snatched by Nektar Therapeutics. In February 2018, the company landed a partnership deal with Bristol Myers Squibb for an upfront payment of $1.85 billion for NKTR-214, a phase 3 CD122-biased agonist. The runner up for largest upfront payment was Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (SOBI), that acquired the U.S. rights to Synagis for an upfront payment of $1.5 billion from AstraZeneca. Other high valued partnership deals involved RNA interference therapeutics, cell and/or gene therapies and candidates/targets developed in oncology, neurodegenerative diseases, cardiovascular and metabolic diseases.

In 2019, an increase in high value deals and a huge spotlight on the growing Chinese market is not that farfetched.

At this point it is mere speculation, but there are certainly signals indicating upcoming high deal activity within biotech and pharma during 2019. Triggers in favor include the promise that U.S. President Trump’s tax reform will allow many bigger U.S. headquartered pharma companies to free up cash and spend it on deal-making, the completion of major announced deals and other driving factors that push companies to replenish their pipeline and fence off competition. Looking further afar, China is likely to become a key player within the pharma industry during 2019 with its reformed priority review and approval process allowing domestic drug developers to compete with well-established multination counterparts, says data and analytics company GlobalData.

Focusing only within  therapeutics, five areas stand out as particularly active in deal making; oncology, rare diseases, neurology/neurodegenerative, metabolic and cardiovascular diseases. Looking back at the trends of 2018 and previous years, we could in 2019 expect to see more deals in the rare disease space as there has been a steady increase in approvals of therapeutics in this area.

Oncology looks to be an continuous hot field where a high number of oncology deals could turn into reality since a lot of companies are still looking for the next oncology blockbuster or assets that could complement, or be combined with, their star oncology assets. Based on the recent approvals of CAR-T therapies, we could expect to see an increase of deals in cell and/or gene therapies oncology as well. This is also true for other therapeutic areas, especially those concerning rare genetic diseases or regenerative medicine.

A final area that should not be underestimated is autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. Following the arrival of next generation therapies and patent expiration of major products, it is certainly expected that deals in this space could increase in the prominent future.

Table 1. Top 10 M&A deals in 2018 in pharma and biotech

Acquired

(Acquirer)

Deal value Assets involved Date (Announced or completed)
Shire

(Takeda)

$56* billion Includes a portfolio of assets developed for rare disease Dec 5, 2018
Novartis Consumer Healthcare (GSK) $13 billion Consumer healthcare products including Sensodyne, Panadol, Voltaren and Nicotinell Mar 27, 2018
Bioverativ (Sanofi) $11.6 billion Assets in rare blood disorders including Eloctate and Alprolix Jan 22, 2018
Juno Therapeutics (Celgene Corp) $9 billion CAR-T and TRC therapies Jan 22, 2018
AveXis (Novartis) $8.7 billion Gene therapy platform and AVXS-101 in Spinal Muscular Atrophy Apr 9, 2018
Tesaro (GlaxoSmith Kline) $5.1 billion Includes major marketed products such as Zejula (niraparib), an oral poly ADP ribose polymerase (PARP) inhibitor currently approved for use in ovarian cancer Dec 3, 2018
Ablynx (Sanofi) $4.47 billion Nanobody technology and assets Jan 29, 2018
BTG (Boston Scientific) $4.2 billion Products in minimally-invasive procedures targeting cancer and vascular diseases and acute care pharmaceuticals. Nov 20, 2018
Merck (P&G) $3.9 billion Consumer Health Business of Merck (including brands such as Vicks, Metamucil, Pepto-Bismol, Crest and Oral-B) Apr 19, 2018

Table 2. Top 10 partnership deals 2018 in pharma and biotech

Licensee

(Licensor)

Deal value (deal breakdown) Asset of interest; latest development stage at deal signing; indication  Date
Eisai and MSD $5.76 billion ($300 million upfront, $650 million for option rights, $450 million in reimbursement in R&D, $385 million in clinical and regulatory milestones, and $ 3.97 billion in milestone payments) LENVIMA® (lenvatinib mesylate); marketed for thyroid cancer; phase 3 in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) Mar 7, 2018
Affimed and Genentech $5 billion ($96 million upfront and $5 billion in milestone payments and royalties on sale) NK cell engager-based immunotherapeutics to treat multiple cancer targets; research and discovery Aug 27, 2018
Dicerna Pharmaceuticals and Eli Lilly $3.7 billion ($100 million upfront, $100 million in equity stake, $350 million milestone payment for each developed drug) and mid-single to low-double digit royalties. RNA interference (gene silencing) technology; more than 10 experimental drugs to treat pain, neuro-degenerative diseases and cardio-metabolic disorders; research and discovery Oct 29, 2018
Arrowhead (Janssen) $3.7 billion ($175 million upfront, $75 million in equity stake, $1.6 billion in milestone for the HBV license and   $1.9 billion in option and milestone payments for 3 additional targets. ARO-HBV program; AROHBV1001, phase 1/2; and 3 additional RNA interferences therapeutics against new targets, preclinical, Chronic hepatitis B virus infection Oct 4, 2018
Nektar Therapeutics (Bristol Myers Squibb) $3.6 billion ($1.85 billion upfront and $1.78 billion in milestones) NKTR-214 (CD122-biased agonist), phase 3, several cancer indications Feb 14, 2018
Sangamo Therapeutics and (Kite, a Gilead Sciences Company) $3 billion ($150 million upfront and up to $3.01 billion in milestone payments) Zinc finger nuclease (ZFN) technology platform for the development of next-gen ex vivo cell therapies; research and discovery; oncology Feb 22, 2018
Immatics Biotechnologies GmbH and Genmab $2.8 billion ($54 million upfront and up to $550 million in milestone payments per candidate) Immatics’ XPRESIDENT®targets and T-cell receptor (TCR) capabilities; 3 targets and option to license 2 additional targets; research and discovery phase multiple cancer immunotherapies Jul 12, 2018
AstraZeneca and SOBI $2.3 billion ($1.5 billion upfront, $815 million in milestone payments)

 

U.S. rights to Synagis  (palivizumasb); marketed; prevention of serious lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) Nov 13, 2018
Prothena and Celgene $2.2 billion ($100 million upfront, $50 million in equity investment and $2.1 billion in milestone and option payments) and royalties on net sales 3 proteins implicated in the pathogenesis of several neurodegenerative diseases, including tau, TDP-43 and an undisclosed target; research and discovery; Alzheimer’s disease, progressive supra nuclear palsy, frontotemporal dementia and ALS Mar 20, 2018
Wave Life Science and Takeda $2.2 billion ($110 million upfront, $60 million in purchase of shares, $60

million to fund research and $2 billion in milestone payments if 6 early development programs advance)

Several programs in neurological disorders (oligonucleotides): WVE-120101 and WVE-120102, phase 1b/2a;

Huntington’s disease and 4 preclinical within CNS; WVE-3972-01, ALS and FTD, research and preclinical; program targeting the ATXN3 gene for the treatment of SCA3, research and discovery

Feb 20, 2018